Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Match Analysis
Hércules
Real Jaén
Hércules
W
L
L
L
D
D
Real Jaén
W
D
W
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Hércules Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Europa Fc | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Atlético Madrid II | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Real Murcia | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Alcoyano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Castellón | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Gimnastic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Real Jaén Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Teruel | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Huesca | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Europa Fc | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Cordoba | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Cacereño | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Oct 29, 25 | Home | Eldense | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Jaén | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 15 | Hércules | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Real Jaén to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Real Jaén has a 34.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.51 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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