Hanwell Town vs Burgess Hill Town Saturday 19th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 19, 2026 2 days, 11 hours from now VS

Hanwell Town Burgess Hill Town

Hanwell Town W L L W D W

Burgess Hill Town W D L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 26	Away	Flackwell Heath	0 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Aldershot Town	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 13, 25	Home	Bedfont Sports	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 2, 25	Home	Cray Wanderers	1 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 25	Away	Cray Wanderers	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 2, 25	Home	Whitehawk	6 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Away	Jersey Bulls	1 - 3	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Jersey Bulls	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Dover	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Sevenoaks Town	2 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 25	Home	Farnham Town	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 31, 25	Away	Wokingham Town	1 - 5	Win

This prediction indicates that Hanwell Town has a 41.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.87 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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