Ligat Ha'al
Match Analysis
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Katamon
W
L
D
L
W
W
Maccabi Tel Aviv
L
W
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Maccabi Tel Aviv with a 57% probability. The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Maccabi Tel Aviv, and notes that they have dominated recent meetings, often with many goals scored. Although both teams show moderate recent form, and Hapoel Katamon have a rest advantage, the model's confidence in an away win is notably higher than typical market expectations might suggest, given the lack of available market odds. The model also leans toward an over 1.5 goals outcome and a under 2.5 goals outcome, reflecting the tendency for these matchups to feature goals but not excessively high scoring.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Katamon | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 3 | January 3, 2026 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Katamon | 2 - 1 | September 20, 2025 |
| Hapoel Katamon | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 - 3 | December 16, 2024 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Katamon | 2 - 1 | September 18, 2024 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Katamon | 2 - 1 | January 31, 2024 |
| Hapoel Katamon | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 2 | December 3, 2023 |
Hapoel Katamon Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Górnik Łęczna | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Motor Lublin | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Bnei Yehuda | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 18, 26 | Home | Ironi Tiberias | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Ashdod | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Bnei Sakhnin | 1 - 0 | Win |
Maccabi Tel Aviv Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | FC Lugano | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | CSKA Sofia | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | CSKA Sofia | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Sheriff Tiraspol | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Sheriff Tiraspol | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 - 3 | Win |
Ligat Ha'al Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hapoel Katamon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Maccabi Tel Aviv to win
This prediction indicates that Maccabi Tel Aviv has a 56.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.88 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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