Ligat Ha'al
Match Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Tel Aviv
D
L
D
L
W
D
Beitar Jerusalem
L
W
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Hapoel Tel Aviv have had poor recent form, while Beitar Jerusalem arrive with moderate recent form and a modest quality edge. Despite Beitar Jerusalem's dominance in recent meetings between the two sides, Hapoel have shown strong attacking form recently. The model predicts a home win with a 38% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also suggests a higher likelihood of over 1.5 goals, aligning with the market's strong inclination towards a higher-scoring match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1 - 1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Beitar Jerusalem | 0 - 1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Beitar Jerusalem | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1 - 0 | January 1, 2026 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Beitar Jerusalem | 3 - 2 | September 15, 2025 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Beitar Jerusalem | 1 - 5 | April 27, 2024 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Beitar Jerusalem | 0 - 1 | January 22, 2024 |
Hapoel Tel Aviv Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Hapoel Haifa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Atalanta | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Atalanta | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | GKS Katowice | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | GKS Katowice | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Ludogorets | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Beitar Jerusalem Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Maccabi Netanya | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Austria Vienna | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Austria Vienna | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | AEK Larnaca | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | AEK Larnaca | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Dukagjini | 1 - 0 | Win |
Ligat Ha'al Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Beitar Jerusalem | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.01% likelihood that both Hapoel Tel Aviv and Beitar Jerusalem will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Hapoel Tel Aviv or Beitar Jerusalem to win
This prediction indicates that Hapoel Tel Aviv has a 38.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.72 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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