Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets Thursday 23rd July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Hapoel Tel Aviv Ludogorets

Hapoel Tel Aviv W D D L L W

Ludogorets D W D W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Away	Zlin	1 - 2	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	Bnei Yehuda	3 - 3	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Beitar Jerusalem	1 - 1	Draw
May 19, 26	Away	Maccabi Haifa	4 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Hapoel Beer Sheva	0 - 2	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	Hapoel Petah Tikva	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	FC Botosani	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Home	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	7 - 4	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0 - 0	Draw
May 25, 26	Home	CSKA Sofia	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	CSKA 1948	1 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Levski Sofia	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction indicates that Ludogorets has a 45.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.80 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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