National League - North
Match Analysis
Harborough Town
Hereford
Harborough Town
W
D
W
D
D
D
Hereford
W
W
W
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Harborough Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Darlington 1883 | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Oxford City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Morecambe | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | King's Lynn Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Quorn | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Real Bedford | 4 - 4 | Draw |
Hereford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Worksop Town | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Home | Radcliffe | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Marine | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Buxton | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Bromsgrove Sporting | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Shrewsbury | 1 - 1 | Draw |
National League - North Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hereford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 | Harborough Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.39% likelihood that both Harborough Town and Hereford will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Harborough Town to win
This prediction indicates that Harborough Town has a 48.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.98 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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