Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31 Tuesday 01st September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

KNVB Beker

Sept. 1, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Harkemase Boys Excelsior '31

Harkemase Boys D L L W L L

Excelsior '31 L D L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 2, 25	Home	Sparta Nijkerk	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 3, 24	Away	Achilles Veen	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 23	Away	Eemdijk	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 12, 23	Away	Hsc 21	3 - 4	Win
Jul 15, 23	Away	Cambuur	4 - 0	Loss
Oct 18, 22	Home	FC Volendam	1 - 5	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 23, 25	Away	Eemdijk	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 2, 25	Away	Emmen	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 9, 25	Away	HHC	5 - 1	Loss
Sep 4, 24	Away	Gemert	4 - 0	Loss
Oct 18, 22	Home	ADO Den Haag	2 - 3	Loss
Sep 21, 22	Away	OSS '20	1 - 2	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Harkemase Boys has a 48.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.85 %

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