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USL Championship

Aug. 16, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Hartford Athletic Miami FC
Hartford Athletic D L D L D W
Miami FC L L W D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Miami FC Hartford Athletic 0 - 0 April 4, 2026
Miami FC Hartford Athletic 0 - 1 September 6, 2025
Hartford Athletic Miami FC 2 - 0 August 6, 2025
Miami FC Hartford Athletic 0 - 3 September 14, 2024
Hartford Athletic Miami FC 3 - 2 April 6, 2024
Miami FC Hartford Athletic 2 - 0 September 30, 2023

Hartford Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 26, 26 Away Phoenix Rising 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Rhode Island 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 8, 26 Home Orange County SC 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Away Louisville City 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 1 Win

Miami FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 23, 26 Away Colorado Springs 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Home Indy Eleven 2 - 0 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Birmingham Legion 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 24, 26 Home Orange County SC 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Oakland Roots 0 - 0 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
19 Miami FC 18 5 6 7 22 29 -7 21
20 Hartford Athletic 16 4 8 4 12 14 -2 20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Hartford Athletic to win
This prediction indicates that Hartford Athletic has a 50.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.38 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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