USL Championship
Match Analysis
Hartford Athletic
New Mexico United
Hartford Athletic
L
W
D
L
D
D
New Mexico United
W
L
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hartford Athletic | New Mexico United | 4 - 0 | July 31, 2025 |
| New Mexico United | Hartford Athletic | 1 - 0 | June 9, 2024 |
| Hartford Athletic | New Mexico United | 2 - 1 | August 5, 2023 |
| New Mexico United | Hartford Athletic | 2 - 2 | October 7, 2021 |
Hartford Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Away | FC Tulsa | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Detroit City | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Loudoun United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 11, 26 | Home | El Paso Locomotive | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Apr 4, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Mar 28, 26 | Home | Indy Eleven | 2 - 2 | Draw |
New Mexico United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Home | Charleston Battery | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Las Vegas Lights | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 7, 26 | Home | El Paso Locomotive | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 12, 26 | Away | Phoenix Rising | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 5, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 0 - 1 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | New Mexico United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Hartford Athletic | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.7% likelihood that both Hartford Athletic and New Mexico United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Hartford Athletic to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Hartford Athletic has a 35.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.56 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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