Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC Thursday 09th July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Hartford Athletic Orange County SC

Hartford Athletic D W D L W D

Orange County SC W W D W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Orange County SC	Hartford Athletic	3 - 2	October 27, 2024
Hartford Athletic	Orange County SC	1 - 1	April 1, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	New Mexico United	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	FC Tulsa	2 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Detroit City	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Loudoun United	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 24, 26	Away	Miami FC	2 - 4	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	2 - 3	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	New Mexico United	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Oakland Roots	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Sacramento Republic	3 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Orange County SC	14	7	5	2	22	15	+7	26
12	Hartford Athletic	12	4	6	2	10	10	0	18

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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