Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX Thursday 17th September 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

USL Championship

Hartford Athletic

Sept. 17, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Sporting JAX

Match Analysis

Hartford Athletic Sporting JAX

Hartford Athletic W W D L D L

Sporting JAX L W L L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sporting JAX	Hartford Athletic	0 - 3	March 8, 2026

Hartford Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Home	Birmingham Legion	3 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Miami FC	2 - 1	Win
Aug 9, 26	Away	Indy Eleven	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Away	Loudoun United	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Rhode Island	1 - 0	Loss

Sporting JAX Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Away	Brooklyn	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	2 - 3	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	Sacramento Republic	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	El Paso Locomotive	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Brooklyn	2 - 2	Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	Hartford Athletic	20	6	9	5	18	20	-2	27
25	Sporting JAX	22	2	5	15	27	58	-31	11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.01% likelihood that both Hartford Athletic and Sporting JAX will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hartford Athletic to win

This prediction indicates that Hartford Athletic has a 66.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.69 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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