National League
Match Analysis
Hartlepool
Harrogate Town
Hartlepool
L
W
L
L
L
W
Harrogate Town
W
W
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool | Harrogate Town | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2023 |
| Hartlepool | Harrogate Town | 3 - 3 | January 1, 2023 |
| Hartlepool | Harrogate Town | 3 - 1 | November 26, 2022 |
| Harrogate Town | Hartlepool | 2 - 1 | October 15, 2022 |
| Hartlepool | Harrogate Town | 2 - 0 | August 30, 2022 |
| Harrogate Town | Hartlepool | 1 - 2 | March 5, 2022 |
Hartlepool Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | Kidderminster Harriers | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Woking | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | FC Halifax Town | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Eastleigh | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Sutton Utd | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Aldershot Town | 0 - 1 | Win |
Harrogate Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Tamworth | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Scunthorpe | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Gateshead | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Aldershot Town | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Barrow | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Wealdstone | 1 - 3 | Win |
National League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 13 |
| 12 | Hartlepool | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
Predictions
Hartlepool to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Hartlepool has a 38.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.69 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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