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National League - North logo

National League - North

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Hebburn Town Southport
Hebburn Town L D D L W L
Southport W L W L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Hebburn Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 21, 26 Home Hartlepool 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Morpeth Town 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Home Gateshead 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 7, 26 Home Heaton Stannington 2 - 4 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Rylands 5 - 0 Win
Sep 13, 25 Away Curzon Ashton 4 - 1 Loss

Southport Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 24, 26 Home United of Manchester 2 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Fleetwood Town 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home AFC Telford United 2 - 0 Win
Apr 21, 26 Away Macclesfield 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Away AFC Fylde 4 - 0 Loss
Apr 11, 26 Home Leamington 1 - 2 Loss

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Southport None None None None None None None None
None Hebburn Town None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.69% likelihood that both Hebburn Town and Southport will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Hebburn Town or Southport to win
This prediction indicates that Hebburn Town has a 42.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.36 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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