Heidelberg United vs Hume City Friday 14th August 2026 12:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Heidelberg United Hume City

Heidelberg United D D D D L L

Hume City L L L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hume City	Heidelberg United	2 - 1	May 2, 2026
Hume City	Heidelberg United	0 - 1	June 20, 2025
Heidelberg United	Hume City	5 - 1	March 14, 2025
Heidelberg United	Hume City	1 - 1	August 23, 2024
Heidelberg United	Hume City	1 - 1	July 26, 2024
Hume City	Heidelberg United	2 - 2	April 27, 2024

Heidelberg United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Home	Sunshine Georgies	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Altona Magic	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Melbourne City II	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Home	St. Albans Saints	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Preston Lions	0 - 1	Loss

Hume City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Away	Preston Lions	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Dandenong City	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Dandenong Thunder	1 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Green Gully	3 - 2	Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Hume City	22	12	4	6	42	28	+14	40
6	Heidelberg United	22	9	7	6	33	26	+7	34

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.27% likelihood that both Heidelberg United and Hume City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Heidelberg United or Hume City to win

This prediction indicates that Heidelberg United has a 41.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.75 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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