League One
Match Analysis
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Meizhou Kejia
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
D
L
L
L
L
D
Meizhou Kejia
L
W
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meizhou Kejia | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 2 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
| Meizhou Kejia | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 2 - 3 | August 6, 2021 |
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring | Meizhou Kejia | 3 - 2 | July 16, 2021 |
| Meizhou Kejia | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 1 - 2 | October 19, 2019 |
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring | Meizhou Kejia | 2 - 1 | June 15, 2019 |
| Meizhou Kejia | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 1 - 2 | September 9, 2018 |
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Dongguan United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Changchun Yatai | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Shaanxi Union | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Suzhou Dongwu | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Hebei Kungfu | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Nanjing City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Meizhou Kejia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Hebei Kungfu | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Nanjing City | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Shenzhen Juniors | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Ningbo Professional | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Guangzhou E-Power | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Guangxi Hengchen | 1 - 0 | Loss |
League One Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Meizhou Kejia | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 24 |
| 14 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.47% likelihood that both Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Meizhou Kejia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win
This prediction indicates that Heilongjiang Lava Spring has a 53.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.18 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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