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League One

June 28, 2026 1 day, 11 hours ago
3 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

Heilongjiang Lava Spring Wuxi Wugou
Heilongjiang Lava Spring L D D L L D
Wuxi Wugou D D W D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Wuxi Wugou 0 - 1 October 13, 2024
Wuxi Wugou Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0 - 1 June 1, 2024
Wuxi Wugou Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2 - 1 October 22, 2023
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Wuxi Wugou 6 - 2 July 9, 2023

Heilongjiang Lava Spring Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home Guangzhou E-Power 1 - 3 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Meizhou Kejia 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Dongguan United 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Shanghai Zetian 4 - 2 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Changchun Yatai 2 - 3 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Shaanxi Union 1 - 1 Draw

Wuxi Wugou Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Qingdao Jonoon 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Meizhou Kejia 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Suzhou Dongwu 1 - 3 Win
May 23, 26 Home Nanjing City 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Guangzhou Dandelion 0 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Away Nantong Zhiyun 1 - 0 Loss

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Wuxi Wugou 11 4 4 3 17 11 +6 16
8 Heilongjiang Lava Spring 11 3 6 2 15 15 0 15

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Wuxi Wugou to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Wuxi Wugou has a 37.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.11 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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