Cup
Match Analysis
Heist
Kortrijk
Heist
W
D
W
L
W
W
Kortrijk
W
L
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Heist with a 39% probability. Despite Kortrijk having a clear quality advantage, Heist's strong recent form, notable rest advantage, and strong attacking performance tilt the prediction in their favor. The model also sees a 51% chance that both teams will score and a 54% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored, indicating an expectation of a competitive and open match. Since no market odds are provided for comparison, the model's view stands alone on these predictions.
Heist Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Lierse Kempenzonen | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Patro Eisden | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | KV Mechelen | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Oct 29, 25 | Home | RAAL La Louvière | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 25 | Home | Arquet | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 25 | Home | Nijlen | 2 - 0 | Win |
Kortrijk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Waasland-beveren | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | RAAL La Louvière | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Zulte Waregem | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 3, 26 | Away | Anderlecht | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Charleroi | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Antwerp | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Predictions
Heist or Kortrijk to win
This prediction indicates that Heist has a 39.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.73 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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