Canadian Premier League
Match Analysis
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
D
L
D
W
L
W
Vancouver FC
W
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | 1 - 0 | May 30, 2026 |
| Vancouver FC | HFX Wanderers FC | 0 - 1 | April 4, 2026 |
| Vancouver FC | HFX Wanderers FC | 3 - 1 | September 28, 2025 |
| HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | 1 - 2 | August 4, 2025 |
| HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | 1 - 0 | June 21, 2025 |
| Vancouver FC | HFX Wanderers FC | 0 - 2 | May 18, 2025 |
HFX Wanderers FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Forge | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Supra du Quebec | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Cavalry FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Pacific FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Atlético Ottawa | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Pacific FC | 5 - 2 | Win |
Vancouver FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Atlético Ottawa | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Cavalry FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Supra du Quebec | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | York United | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Forge | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Pacific FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
Canadian Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vancouver FC | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers FC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 16 |
Predictions
HFX Wanderers FC to win
This prediction indicates that HFX Wanderers FC has a 43.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.42 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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