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Canadian Premier League

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC D L L L D D
Vancouver FC D L W D L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Vancouver FC HFX Wanderers FC 0 - 1 April 4, 2026
Vancouver FC HFX Wanderers FC 3 - 1 September 28, 2025
HFX Wanderers FC Vancouver FC 1 - 2 August 4, 2025
HFX Wanderers FC Vancouver FC 1 - 0 June 21, 2025
Vancouver FC HFX Wanderers FC 0 - 2 May 18, 2025
HFX Wanderers FC Vancouver FC 1 - 1 October 5, 2024

HFX Wanderers FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home York United 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Atlético Ottawa 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Forge 1 - 3 Loss
Apr 24, 26 Away Supra du Quebec 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Home Pacific FC 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 11, 26 Away York United 2 - 2 Draw

Vancouver FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Supra du Quebec 1 - 1 Draw
May 18, 26 Home Cavalry FC 0 - 2 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Pacific FC 1 - 3 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Atlético Ottawa 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Away York United 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 12, 26 Home Forge 0 - 1 Loss

Canadian Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 HFX Wanderers FC 7 1 3 3 8 11 -3 6
7 Vancouver FC 7 1 2 4 5 8 -3 5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.32% likelihood that both HFX Wanderers FC and Vancouver FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

HFX Wanderers FC to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that HFX Wanderers FC has a 44.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.85 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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