HNL
Match Analysis
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
L
L
L
W
W
L
HNK Hajduk Split
W
D
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
HNK Hajduk Split is seen as the stronger side in this matchup, giving them an edge despite recent meetings favoring HNK Gorica. The model predicts an away win with a 49% chance, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance (54%) that both teams will score and that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the game (55%), aligning reasonably with the market's view on these aspects.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Hajduk Split | HNK Gorica | 1 - 0 | April 12, 2026 |
| HNK Gorica | HNK Hajduk Split | 1 - 0 | January 31, 2026 |
| HNK Hajduk Split | HNK Gorica | 1 - 3 | October 24, 2025 |
| HNK Gorica | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 - 0 | August 10, 2025 |
| HNK Gorica | HNK Hajduk Split | 1 - 1 | May 11, 2025 |
| HNK Hajduk Split | HNK Gorica | 2 - 1 | March 9, 2025 |
HNK Gorica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | NK Osijek | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | FC St. Pauli | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 13, 26 | Home | Goztepe | 0 - 2 | Loss |
HNK Hajduk Split Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Istra 1961 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | NK Varazdin | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Pafos | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Pafos | 2 - 0 | Win |
HNL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | HNK Gorica | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
HNK Hajduk Split to win
This prediction indicates that HNK Hajduk Split has a 48.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.41 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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