HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split Saturday 15th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

HNK Gorica HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Gorica L W W L W W

HNK Hajduk Split L W L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
HNK Hajduk Split	HNK Gorica	1 - 0	April 12, 2026
HNK Gorica	HNK Hajduk Split	1 - 0	January 31, 2026
HNK Hajduk Split	HNK Gorica	1 - 3	October 24, 2025
HNK Gorica	HNK Hajduk Split	2 - 0	August 10, 2025
HNK Gorica	HNK Hajduk Split	1 - 1	May 11, 2025
HNK Hajduk Split	HNK Gorica	2 - 1	March 9, 2025

HNK Gorica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Home	Shakhtar Donetsk	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Home	FC St. Pauli	2 - 1	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	1 - 0	Win
Jul 13, 26	Home	Goztepe	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Away	Brežice	1 - 5	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Zorya Luhansk	2 - 1	Win

HNK Hajduk Split Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Pafos	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Home	Pafos	2 - 0	Win
Jul 16, 26	Away	Žilina	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Home	Žilina	2 - 0	Win
Jul 1, 26	Away	Celje	0 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	LNZ Cherkasy	0 - 1	Win

HNL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HNK Gorica	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

HNK Hajduk Split to win

This prediction indicates that HNK Hajduk Split has a 51.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.87 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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