HNL
Match Analysis
HNK Gorica
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
L
L
L
L
L
W
NK Varazdin
L
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica | NK Varazdin | 1 - 1 | April 3, 2026 |
| NK Varazdin | HNK Gorica | 1 - 2 | January 26, 2026 |
| HNK Gorica | NK Varazdin | 1 - 3 | October 19, 2025 |
| NK Varazdin | HNK Gorica | 1 - 1 | August 4, 2025 |
| NK Varazdin | HNK Gorica | 0 - 0 | April 4, 2025 |
| HNK Gorica | NK Varazdin | 1 - 1 | January 25, 2025 |
HNK Gorica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | NK Slaven Belupo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | HNK Hajduk Split | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | NK Osijek | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | FC St. Pauli | 2 - 1 | Win |
NK Varazdin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | HNK Rijeka | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | NK Slaven Belupo | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Hradec Králové | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Hradec Králové | 3 - 2 | Win |
HNL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.NK Varazdin to win
This prediction indicates that NK Varazdin has a 46.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.90 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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