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1. Division logo

1. Division

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
3 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Hobro Middelfart
Hobro W L D D W L
Middelfart L L W L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Middelfart Hobro 0 - 6 April 18, 2026
Middelfart Hobro 0 - 1 March 21, 2026
Hobro Middelfart 0 - 0 July 27, 2025
Middelfart Hobro 3 - 2 September 10, 2024

Hobro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Away HB Koge 0 - 1 Win
May 14, 26 Home Aarhus Fremad 0 - 3 Loss
May 8, 26 Home B 93 3 - 3 Draw
May 1, 26 Away Aalborg 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Aarhus Fremad 0 - 1 Win
Apr 22, 26 Home HB Koge 1 - 2 Loss

Middelfart Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home B 93 2 - 4 Loss
May 16, 26 Home HB Koge 0 - 4 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Aalborg 1 - 3 Win
May 1, 26 Home Aarhus Fremad 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away B 93 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 22, 26 Away Aarhus Fremad 5 - 1 Loss

1. Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Hobro 31 10 9 12 37 41 -4 39
12 Middelfart 31 3 6 22 30 74 -44 15

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.03% likelihood that both Hobro and Middelfart will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Hobro to win
This prediction indicates that Hobro has a 55.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.19 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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