Holstebro vs Aalborg Tuesday 04th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Holstebro Aalborg

Holstebro L L L D L W

Aalborg L D W W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Holstebro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Thisted FC	3 - 2	Loss
Feb 21, 26	Home	Thisted FC	1 - 5	Loss
Feb 7, 26	Away	Skive	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 6, 25	Home	Odder	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 19, 25	Away	Thisted FC	5 - 0	Loss
Mar 1, 25	Home	Thisted FC	1 - 0	Win

Aalborg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	Silkeborg	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Randers FC	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Home	Viborg	3 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	HB Koge	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Aarhus Fremad	5 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Away	B 93	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.21% likelihood that both Holstebro and Aalborg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Aalborg to win

This prediction indicates that Aalborg has a 60.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.98 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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