2. Bundesliga
Match Analysis
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
L
L
D
W
W
L
FC St. Pauli
L
L
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | FC St. Pauli | 1 - 2 | April 12, 2025 |
| FC St. Pauli | Holstein Kiel | 3 - 1 | November 29, 2024 |
| Holstein Kiel | FC St. Pauli | 3 - 4 | February 23, 2024 |
| FC St. Pauli | Holstein Kiel | 5 - 1 | September 17, 2023 |
| Holstein Kiel | FC St. Pauli | 3 - 4 | May 19, 2023 |
| FC St. Pauli | Holstein Kiel | 0 - 0 | November 8, 2022 |
Holstein Kiel Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | FSV Mainz 05 | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Swansea | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Sonderjyske | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | FC Fredericia | 1 - 3 | Loss |
FC St. Pauli Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Bournemouth | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | HNK Gorica | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | SV Babelsberg 03 | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Kickers Emden | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 30, 26 | Away | Altona 93 | 2 - 6 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 3 | Loss |
2. Bundesliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | FC St. Pauli | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Holstein Kiel | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.12% likelihood that both Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Holstein Kiel to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Holstein Kiel has a 37.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.20 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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