Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Home United
Xerez Deportivo
Home United
L
L
L
L
L
Xerez Deportivo
L
D
D
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Xerez Deportivo with a 40% probability. Xerez Deportivo has a modest quality edge, which supports the prediction despite both teams showing poor recent form. Home United’s recent defensive struggles also favor the away side, even with their rest advantage. The model also suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring and both matches exceeding 1.5 and 2.5 goals, indicating an expected open and potentially high-scoring game, though exact market odds aren’t available for direct comparison.
Home United Form (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 24 | Home | Tampines Rovers | 1 - 13 | Loss |
| Apr 4, 24 | Home | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Mar 8, 24 | Home | Balestier Khalsa | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 23 | Home | Tottenham | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Nov 24, 22 | Home | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 7 | Loss |
Xerez Deportivo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Mijas Las Lagunas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 25 | Away | Algeciras | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 21, 25 | Home | Ceuta II | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 12, 25 | Home | Sevilla Atletico | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 24, 24 | Home | Atlético Central | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 24 | Home | Sevilla Atletico | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.56% likelihood that both Home United and Xerez Deportivo will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Home United or Xerez Deportivo to win
This prediction indicates that Xerez Deportivo has a 40.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.03 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments