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Friendlies

June 5, 2026 3 weeks, 3 days ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Hong Kong Mongolia
Hong Kong D D W W W W
Mongolia L W L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Hong Kong Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Nov 13, 25 Home Cambodia 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 5, 25 Home Nepal 0 - 0 Draw
Mar 19, 25 Home Mação 2 - 0 Win
Nov 19, 24 Home Mauritius 1 - 0 Win
Nov 14, 24 Home Philippines 3 - 1 Win
Oct 15, 24 Home Cambodia 3 - 0 Win

Mongolia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Singapore 4 - 0 Loss
Jun 11, 24 Home Cambodia 2 - 1 Win
Jun 7, 24 Away Cambodia 2 - 0 Loss
Mar 25, 24 Away Tanzania 3 - 0 Loss
Mar 22, 24 Away Azerbaijan 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 15, 23 Away Vanuatu 1 - 0 Loss

Friendlies Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
230 Hong Kong 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
341 Mongolia 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 63.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Hong Kong to win
This prediction indicates that Hong Kong has a 71.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 12.12 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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