Horsham vs Salisbury Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Horsham Salisbury

Horsham L L W W L L

Salisbury W L W L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Salisbury	Horsham	2 - 1	April 18, 2026
Horsham	Salisbury	1 - 1	August 30, 2025

Horsham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Sutton Utd	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Eastbourne Town	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Eastleigh	3 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Chippenham Town	3 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Salisbury	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Away	Weston-super-Mare	1 - 0	Loss

Salisbury Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Havant & Wville	5 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Frome Town	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Wimborne Town	1 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Bristol Rovers	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Amesbury Town	0 - 7	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Hemel Hempstead Town	1 - 1	Draw

National League - South Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Salisbury	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Horsham	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.54% likelihood that both Horsham and Salisbury will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Horsham or Salisbury to win

This prediction indicates that Horsham has a 39.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.81 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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