MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Houston Dynamo FC II
St. Louis City II
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
L
W
D
W
W
St. Louis City II
L
D
W
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City II | Houston Dynamo FC II | 1 - 4 | May 9, 2026 |
| Houston Dynamo FC II | St. Louis City II | 2 - 2 | September 1, 2025 |
| St. Louis City II | Houston Dynamo FC II | 1 - 0 | June 28, 2025 |
| St. Louis City II | Houston Dynamo FC II | 3 - 1 | May 4, 2025 |
| Houston Dynamo FC II | St. Louis City II | 1 - 1 | August 12, 2024 |
| St. Louis City II | Houston Dynamo FC II | 1 - 0 | June 16, 2024 |
Houston Dynamo FC II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | LA Galaxy II | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers II | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Minnesota United II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Away | St. Louis City II | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 4, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids II | 1 - 3 | Win |
St. Louis City II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Minnesota United II | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | North Texas | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Los Angeles II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 18, 26 | Away | Austin II | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo FC II | 1 - 4 | Loss |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Houston Dynamo FC II | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 10 | +20 | 29 |
| 7 | St. Louis City II | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 23 | +5 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.83% likelihood that both Houston Dynamo FC II and St. Louis City II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Houston Dynamo FC II to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Houston Dynamo FC II has a 35.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.14 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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