Serie D
Match Analysis
Humaitá
Independência
Humaitá
L
L
L
L
L
L
Independência
W
W
L
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independência | Humaitá | 3 - 0 | April 12, 2026 |
| Independência | Humaitá | 0 - 1 | July 12, 2025 |
| Humaitá | Independência | 1 - 3 | May 4, 2025 |
Humaitá Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Home | Guaporé | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Galvez | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Araguaína | 0 - 7 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Araguaína | 6 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Galvez | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Guaporé | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Independência Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Home | Galvez | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Araguaína | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Porto Velho | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Porto Velho | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Araguaína | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Galvez | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Serie D Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | Independência | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 96 | Humaitá | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 33 | -29 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.56% likelihood that both Humaitá and Independência will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Independência to win
This prediction indicates that Independência has a 65.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.88 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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