Hume City vs Dandenong City Saturday 04th July 2026 07:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Hume City Dandenong City

Hume City W W W D W W

Dandenong City W L W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dandenong City	Hume City	1 - 1	March 20, 2026
Hume City	Dandenong City	3 - 0	June 6, 2025
Dandenong City	Hume City	1 - 3	February 28, 2025
Dandenong City	Hume City	2 - 4	July 12, 2024
Hume City	Dandenong City	0 - 0	April 13, 2024
Hume City	Dandenong City	1 - 2	June 4, 2022

Hume City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Dandenong Thunder	1 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Green Gully	3 - 2	Win
Jun 5, 26	Away	Bentleigh Greens	1 - 5	Win
May 30, 26	Home	South Melbourne	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Altona Magic	1 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Avondale	3 - 0	Win

Dandenong City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Avondale	3 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Sunshine Georgies	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Home	Heidelberg United	4 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Melbourne City II	0 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Home	St. Albans Saints	2 - 1	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	1 - 1	Draw

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Hume City	18	12	3	3	39	22	+17	39
6	Dandenong City	18	7	4	7	26	25	+1	25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.42% likelihood that both Hume City and Dandenong City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hume City to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Hume City has a 41.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.62 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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