Hume City vs South Melbourne Saturday 30th May 2026 07:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Hume City South Melbourne

Hume City W W W W W L

South Melbourne L L L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
South Melbourne	Hume City	1 - 2	February 19, 2026
South Melbourne	Hume City	2 - 1	June 27, 2025
Hume City	South Melbourne	1 - 1	March 21, 2025
South Melbourne	Hume City	1 - 0	August 30, 2024
Hume City	South Melbourne	0 - 1	June 1, 2024
South Melbourne	Hume City	1 - 0	February 26, 2024

Hume City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Altona Magic	1 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Avondale	3 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Sunshine Georgies	2 - 4	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Heidelberg United	2 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Melbourne City II	0 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	St. Albans Saints	0 - 1	Loss

South Melbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 25, 26	Home	Avondale	0 - 4	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	Sunshine Georgies	0 - 4	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Heidelberg United	4 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	Melbourne City II	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	0 - 4	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	0 - 3	Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Hume City	14	9	2	3	27	17	+10	29
6	South Melbourne	14	7	0	7	19	25	-6	21

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.32% likelihood that both Hume City and South Melbourne will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hume City to win

This prediction indicates that Hume City has a 55.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.15 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 73.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips

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