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Victoria NPL

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Hume City Sunshine Georgies
Hume City W L L L D W
Sunshine Georgies D D W D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sunshine Georgies Hume City 2 - 4 May 9, 2026

Hume City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Melbourne City II 1 - 0 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Away Preston Lions 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Dandenong City 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Dandenong Thunder 1 - 3 Win

Sunshine Georgies Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Altona Magic 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Away Heidelberg United 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Melbourne City II 1 - 0 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Home Preston Lions 0 - 2 Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Hume City 23 13 4 6 43 28 +15 43
7 Sunshine Georgies 23 7 11 5 29 29 0 32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.67% likelihood that both Hume City and Sunshine Georgies will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Hume City to win
This prediction indicates that Hume City has a 54.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.23 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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