Hungary U18 vs Italy U18 Monday 05th October 2026 11:30 AM football predictions.

Friendlies

Oct. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Hungary U18 Italy U18

Hungary U18 L W W D

Italy U18 L D L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 13, 26	Away	Turkey U18	2 - 1	Loss
Nov 5, 25	Away	Slovakia U18	2 - 3	Win
Oct 22, 25	Home	Bosnia & Herzegovina U18	1 - 0	Win
Sep 17, 25	Away	North Macedonia U18	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 19, 26	Home	Ukraine U18	0 - 1	Loss
Feb 17, 26	Home	Ukraine U18	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 14, 26	Away	Spain U18	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 9, 25	Away	Croatia U18	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 6, 25	Home	United Arab Emirates U18	1 - 0	Win
Mar 24, 24	Home	Austria U18	2 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that Hungary U18 has a 44.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.23 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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