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K League 2

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Hwaseong Paju Citizen
Hwaseong L W W W D W
Paju Citizen L L L D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Hwaseong Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Suwon Bluewings 1 - 2 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Gyeongnam FC 2 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Cheongju 2 - 3 Win
May 17, 26 Home Busan I Park 3 - 2 Win
May 9, 26 Home Suwon City FC 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Ansan Greeners 2 - 0 Win

Paju Citizen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 5, 26 Away Daegu FC 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Busan I Park 4 - 1 Loss
May 25, 26 Home Gimpo Citizen 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Cheonan City 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Cheongju 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Gyeongnam FC 2 - 3 Loss

K League 2 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Hwaseong 15 7 4 4 22 17 +5 25
12 Paju Citizen 14 4 2 8 15 20 -5 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Hwaseong will score 0 goals, and Paju Citizen will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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