Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen Saturday 11th July 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Hwaseong Paju Citizen

Hwaseong L W W W D W

Paju Citizen L L L D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Suwon Bluewings	1 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Gyeongnam FC	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Cheongju	2 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Busan I Park	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Suwon City FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Ansan Greeners	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Daegu FC	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Busan I Park	4 - 1	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Gimpo Citizen	0 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Cheonan City	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Cheongju	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Gyeongnam FC	2 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Hwaseong	15	7	4	4	22	17	+5	25
12	Paju Citizen	14	4	2	8	15	20	-5	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Hwaseong will score 0 goals, and Paju Citizen will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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