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Serie D logo

Serie D

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

IAPE Sampaio Correa
IAPE D D L L L L
Sampaio Correa W W D L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sampaio Correa IAPE 0 - 0 April 11, 2026

IAPE Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Iguatu 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Moto Club 2 - 2 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Parnahyba 1 - 2 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Parnahyba 3 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Moto Club 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Away Iguatu 3 - 2 Loss

Sampaio Correa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Moto Club 4 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Home Parnahyba 4 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Maracanã 1 - 1 Draw
May 6, 26 Away Moto Club 1 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Maracanã 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Parnahyba 1 - 0 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
56 Sampaio Correa 8 2 4 2 9 4 +5 10
88 IAPE 8 0 4 4 9 15 -6 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sampaio Correa to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sampaio Correa has a 37.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.77 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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