Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
IF Karlstad
Arlanda
IF Karlstad
D
D
L
L
D
L
Arlanda
W
W
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arlanda | IF Karlstad | 1 - 0 | June 27, 2026 |
| Arlanda | IF Karlstad | 3 - 5 | November 1, 2025 |
| IF Karlstad | Arlanda | 3 - 0 | May 29, 2025 |
IF Karlstad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Enköping | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | FBK Karlstad | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Stocksund | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | AFC Eskilstuna | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | gefle IF | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Sollentuna | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Arlanda Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 26 | Home | Hammarby Talang | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | gefle IF | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Karlberg | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Umeå FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Stocksund | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | FBK Karlstad | 5 - 1 | Win |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arlanda | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 27 | +13 | 42 |
| 5 | IF Karlstad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 23 | +12 | 39 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.73% likelihood that both IF Karlstad and Arlanda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.IF Karlstad to win
This prediction indicates that IF Karlstad has a 42.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.38 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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