1st League - FBiH
Match Analysis
Igman Konjic
Stupčanica Olovo
Igman Konjic
D
L
L
D
W
W
Stupčanica Olovo
W
D
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match features a clear quality gap favoring Stupčanica Olovo, who are seen as the stronger side heading into the game. However, the model predicts that Igman Konjic will win this match with a 46% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest for a home victory. This prediction takes into account Igman Konjic's defensive struggles and Stupčanica Olovo's strong attacking form, along with Igman Konjic's poor recent performance compared to Stupčanica Olovo's moderate form. The model also sees the game ending with fewer than 1.5 goals (47% chance for 'under'), aligning closely with the market's inclination toward a lower-scoring match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Igman Konjic | Stupčanica Olovo | 1 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
| Stupčanica Olovo | Igman Konjic | 4 - 0 | November 16, 2025 |
Igman Konjic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Bratstvo Gračanica | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Stupčanica Olovo | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Čelik | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Bratstvo Gračanica | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Radnik Hadžići | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Budućnost Banovići | 1 - 0 | Win |
Stupčanica Olovo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Čapljina | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Radnik Hadžići | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Igman Konjic | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Bratstvo Gračanica | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Budućnost Banovići | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Sloboda Tuzla | 1 - 1 | Draw |
1st League - FBiH Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stupčanica Olovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 10 | Igman Konjic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Igman Konjic to win
This prediction indicates that Igman Konjic has a 45.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.92 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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