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Serie D logo

Serie D

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Iguatu Maguary PE
Iguatu D W W D D D
Maguary PE L W L W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Iguatu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Tuna Luso 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Away Tuna Luso 1 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Sampaio Correa 0 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Parnahyba 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away IAPE 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Maracanã 1 - 1 Draw

Maguary PE Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Piauí 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Piauí 2 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away ABC 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 1, 26 Home Sousa 2 - 0 Win
May 25, 26 Away Laguna 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Central SC 0 - 0 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Iguatu 12 6 6 0 17 9 +8 24
42 Maguary PE 12 4 4 4 10 6 +4 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Iguatu will score 0 goals, and Maguary PE will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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