Iguatu vs Parnahyba Saturday 30th May 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Iguatu Parnahyba

Iguatu D D W D W W

Parnahyba L L W W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Parnahyba	Iguatu	0 - 2	April 12, 2026
Parnahyba	Iguatu	2 - 0	July 6, 2025
Iguatu	Parnahyba	3 - 0	May 10, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	IAPE	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Maracanã	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Moto Club	3 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Moto Club	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Maracanã	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	IAPE	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Maracanã	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Sampaio Correa	4 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	IAPE	1 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	IAPE	3 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Sampaio Correa	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Maracanã	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Iguatu	8	4	4	0	11	5	+6	16
61	Parnahyba	8	3	1	4	8	11	-3	10

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.2% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Iguatu has a 49.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.04 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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