Ilpar vs FK Sokol Saratov Wednesday 12th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Ilpar FK Sokol Saratov

Ilpar W L W L L L

FK Sokol Saratov W W D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Metallurg Asha	1 - 0	Win
Aug 21, 25	Away	Tyumen	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 6, 25	Home	Nosta	3 - 2	Win
Jul 30, 24	Home	Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 2, 23	Home	Torpedo Miass	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 28, 21	Home	Zenit Izhevsk	0 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Away	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Away	KAMAZ	0 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	0 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Chernomorets	0 - 1	Win
Apr 22, 26	Home	Enisey	0 - 4	Loss

This prediction indicates that Ilpar has a 39.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.93 %

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