Imabari vs Omiya Ardija Saturday 15th August 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Imabari Omiya Ardija

Imabari L D L D L W

Omiya Ardija W L W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Omiya Ardija	Imabari	2 - 3	September 20, 2025
Imabari	Omiya Ardija	0 - 0	April 20, 2025
Omiya Ardija	Imabari	1 - 1	October 19, 2024
Imabari	Omiya Ardija	1 - 4	April 27, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Vissel Kobe	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Away	Vanraure Hachinohe	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	FC Ryukyu	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Tokushima Vortis	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Kamatamare Sanuki	1 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Osaka	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Kochi United	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Yokohama FC	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	FC Gifu	0 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Parceiro Nagano	1 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Consadole Sapporo	4 - 3	Loss
May 6, 26	Home	Iwaki	3 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Omiya Ardija	20	10	2	8	41	31	+10	32
34	Imabari	19	5	4	10	15	20	-5	19

This prediction indicates that Omiya Ardija has a 46.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.40 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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