K League 1
Match Analysis
Incheon United
Daejeon Citizen
Incheon United
L
D
L
W
D
D
Daejeon Citizen
W
L
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Citizen | Incheon United | 0 - 0 | May 5, 2026 |
| Incheon United | Daejeon Citizen | 1 - 3 | March 18, 2026 |
| Incheon United | Daejeon Citizen | 1 - 2 | November 10, 2024 |
| Daejeon Citizen | Incheon United | 2 - 1 | August 17, 2024 |
| Daejeon Citizen | Incheon United | 0 - 1 | May 18, 2024 |
| Incheon United | Daejeon Citizen | 2 - 0 | March 30, 2024 |
Incheon United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | FC Seoul | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | FC Anyang | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Gwangju FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Jeju United FC | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Daejeon Citizen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Bucheon FC 1995 | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Jeju United FC | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Gangwon FC | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | FC Seoul | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | FC Anyang | 1 - 2 | Win |
K League 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Incheon United | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 34 |
| 9 | Daejeon Citizen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 32 |
Predictions
Incheon United or Daejeon Citizen to win
This prediction indicates that Incheon United has a 39.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.69 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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