Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC Sunday 16th August 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Incheon United Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Incheon United D W W L L W

Gimcheon Sangmu FC W W D L D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Incheon United	0 - 3	May 9, 2026
Incheon United	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	2 - 1	April 5, 2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Incheon United	2 - 0	September 15, 2024
Incheon United	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1 - 1	July 5, 2024
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Incheon United	2 - 2	May 5, 2024
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Incheon United	1 - 0	September 18, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Bucheon FC 1995	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Away	Ulsan Hyundai FC	1 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Jeonbuk Motors	1 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	FC Anyang	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	FC Seoul	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Gwangju FC	4 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Pohang Steelers	0 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Daejeon Citizen	3 - 2	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Gwangju FC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Gangwon FC	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Bucheon FC 1995	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Home	Jeju United FC	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Incheon United	20	8	4	8	25	21	+4	28
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20

This prediction indicates that Incheon United has a 42.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.75 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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