Ind. Juniors vs El Nacional Wednesday 19th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Ind. Juniors El Nacional

Ind. Juniors W W W D L W

El Nacional W D L L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
El Nacional	Ind. Juniors	0 - 1	March 21, 2026
El Nacional	Ind. Juniors	1 - 1	October 1, 2022
Ind. Juniors	El Nacional	4 - 1	August 24, 2022
El Nacional	Ind. Juniors	2 - 1	July 28, 2022
Ind. Juniors	El Nacional	0 - 0	March 15, 2022
Ind. Juniors	El Nacional	1 - 1	October 13, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Gualaceo SC	2 - 3	Win
Jul 23, 26	Home	Cuniburo	2 - 0	Win
Jul 17, 26	Away	LDU Portoviejo	0 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Atletico FC	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Vargas Torres	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 10, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	4 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	22 de Julio	1 - 3	Win
Jul 24, 26	Home	Gualaceo SC	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Away	Cuniburo	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Cumbayá	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Away	Atletico FC	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 11, 26	Home	Vargas Torres	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Ind. Juniors	18	8	7	3	20	11	+9	31
12	El Nacional	19	1	5	13	13	30	-17	8

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ind. Juniors has a 59.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.22 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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