Liga Pro Serie B
Match Analysis
Ind. Juniors
El Nacional
Ind. Juniors
D
W
W
W
W
D
El Nacional
L
W
W
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Ind. Juniors have been in strong recent form, while El Nacional have only been moderately consistent. Despite recent meetings often ending level, there is a clear quality gap favoring the home side, and El Nacional have had defensive problems recently. The model predicts a home win with a 61% probability, which aligns with the significant quality advantage for Ind. Juniors, even though they face a rested opponent.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | Ind. Juniors | 0 - 1 | March 21, 2026 |
| El Nacional | Ind. Juniors | 1 - 1 | October 1, 2022 |
| Ind. Juniors | El Nacional | 4 - 1 | August 24, 2022 |
| El Nacional | Ind. Juniors | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2022 |
| Ind. Juniors | El Nacional | 0 - 0 | March 15, 2022 |
| Ind. Juniors | El Nacional | 1 - 1 | October 13, 2021 |
Ind. Juniors Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | 9 de Octubre | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | 22 de Julio | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Gualaceo SC | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Cuniburo | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | LDU Portoviejo | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Atletico FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
El Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | 9 de Octubre | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | 22 de Julio | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Gualaceo SC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Cuniburo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Cumbayá | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Liga Pro Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Juniors | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 38 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Ind. Juniors to win
This prediction indicates that Ind. Juniors has a 60.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.10 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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