Independência vs Guaporé Monday 15th June 2026 12:00 AM football predictions.

Independência Guaporé

Independência W W W L D D

Guaporé W W D W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Guaporé	Independência	1 - 0	April 4, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Humaitá	0 - 4	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Galvez	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Araguaína	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Porto Velho	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Porto Velho	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Araguaína	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Home	Araguaína	3 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Humaitá	0 - 4	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Porto Velho	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Galvez	1 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Galvez	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Porto Velho	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Guaporé	9	6	3	0	17	7	+10	21
36	Independência	9	4	2	3	15	8	+7	14

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Guaporé has a 36.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.59 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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