Independência vs Manauara Monday 22nd June 2026 12:00 AM football predictions.

Independência Manauara

Independência D W W W L D

Manauara W W D W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Independência	Manauara	2 - 1	July 27, 2025
Manauara	Independência	1 - 1	April 19, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Guaporé	2 - 2	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Humaitá	0 - 4	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Galvez	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Araguaína	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Porto Velho	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Porto Velho	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Sao Raimundo	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Monte Roraima	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Manaus FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Nacional AM	0 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	GAS	0 - 0	Draw
May 4, 26	Away	GAS	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Manauara	10	6	4	0	13	5	+8	22
35	Independência	10	4	3	3	17	10	+7	15

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.15% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Manauara has a 39.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.12 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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