Independente SP vs Grêmio Catanduvense Saturday 20th June 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Independente SP Grêmio Catanduvense

Independente SP L L W W W W

Grêmio Catanduvense L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Grêmio Catanduvense	Independente SP	0 - 4	May 17, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Away	Sao Carlos	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Santacruzense	0 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Mogi Mirim	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Matonense	0 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Grêmio Catanduvense	0 - 4	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Sao Carlos	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Matonense	0 - 13	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Mogi Mirim	0 - 6	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Sao Carlos	8 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Santacruzense	1 - 5	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Independente SP	0 - 4	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Matonense	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Independente SP	9	7	0	2	20	7	+13	21
24	Grêmio Catanduvense	9	0	0	9	4	49	-45	0

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 69.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Independente SP has a 78.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.91 %

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