Independente SP vs Mogi Mirim Sunday 31st May 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Independente SP Mogi Mirim

Independente SP W W W W W W

Mogi Mirim W L L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mogi Mirim	Independente SP	0 - 1	April 25, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Matonense	0 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Grêmio Catanduvense	0 - 4	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Sao Carlos	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Santacruzense	2 - 5	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Mogi Mirim	0 - 1	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Matonense	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Sao Carlos	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Matonense	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Santacruzense	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Grêmio Catanduvense	2 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Independente SP	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Sao Carlos	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Independente SP	6	6	0	0	16	3	+13	18
18	Mogi Mirim	6	2	0	4	6	9	-3	6

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Independente SP has a 63.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.86 %

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