Paulista Série B
Match Analysis
Independente SP
Santacruzense
Independente SP
W
W
W
W
W
W
Santacruzense
L
W
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santacruzense | Independente SP | 2 - 5 | May 3, 2026 |
Independente SP Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Mogi Mirim | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Matonense | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Grêmio Catanduvense | 0 - 4 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Sao Carlos | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Santacruzense | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Mogi Mirim | 0 - 1 | Win |
Santacruzense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Home | Matonense | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Grêmio Catanduvense | 1 - 5 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Sao Carlos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Mogi Mirim | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Independente SP | 2 - 5 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Matonense | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Paulista Série B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Independente SP | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 21 |
| 13 | Santacruzense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 10 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.55% likelihood that both Independente SP and Santacruzense will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Independente SP to win
This prediction indicates that Independente SP has a 62.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.27 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 82.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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