Paulista Série B
Match Analysis
Independente SP
Tupa
Independente SP
W
W
L
L
W
W
Tupa
L
L
W
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tupa | Independente SP | 0 - 2 | June 28, 2026 |
Independente SP Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Tupa | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Grêmio Catanduvense | 17 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Sao Carlos | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Santacruzense | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Mogi Mirim | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Matonense | 0 - 2 | Win |
Tupa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Independente SP | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Santa Fé FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Riopretano | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | America SP | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Assisense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | José Bonifácio | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Paulista Série B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 7 | +30 | 24 |
| 16 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.99% likelihood that both Independente SP and Tupa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Independente SP to win
This prediction indicates that Independente SP has a 71.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.53 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments